Battling Childcare Oversupply: The 2021 Digital Marketing Strategy To Win More Enrolments

Adam Wallace

The childcare sector is in a major growth phase.

A number of trends are driving growth in the sector, key among them:

  • Government funding
  • Demand for places
  • And an increase in new mother workforce participation

* Flexible working arrangements offered by employers are also enabling parents to stay in the workforce and use childcare services as required.

With the number of women in the workforce at a record high, childcare centre revenue has grown by 12% to $12.4 billion (in the year to June 2017).

The Federal Government's new Childcare Subsidy is projected to spend $8.8 billion in subsidies this financial year, a figure forecast to rise to $10 billion by 2020.

This all would appear to be positive news for childcare providers...

However, more childcare places means more childcare providers, and more competition. A lot more...

A childcare building boom

Major international private equity firms and investment banks are signalling confidence in the sector by acquiring large portfolios or taking equity positions.

Whilst an increase in places is good news for some families in certain geographic areas, the increase in competition can be devastating to centres in other areas.

In 2018, media publications were plastered with these types of stories...

"Up until two years ago, we were averaging about 12 enquiries every month," Ms Cross said. "We had a big, long waiting list."
But enrolments have dwindled. On some days only one baby is cared for in a space designed to take 15.

The Australian Childcare Alliance said there were...

Another 1,100 centres in the pipeline

Which if completed, would deliver another 90,000 childcare places.

Stockland has begun construction on a $3.7m childcare centre at Baringa on the Sunshine Coast, Queensland. The 132 place centre will be operated by Goodstart Early Learning and opens its doors in January 2021. The revolutionary centre will feature a 952sq m outdoor play space and provide a ground-breaking STEM (science, technology, engineering and mathematics) focused approach to early learning education.

In NSW, Archizen Architects, specialists in Childcare Centre Design and Development has 15 new centres in various stages of planning. These include a 101 place centre in Riverstone and a two storey centre in Mt Druitt.

Ballarat in Victoria is in the grip of a childcare centre boom with three new child care centres recently opened in mid 2018 with at least two more under construction. In a bid to win over parents, the Ballarat centres are offering cafe areas with barista-style coffee and food, whilst the children are learning new languages, attending yoga sessions and enjoying technology, sports and music classes.

G8 Education showed its expansion plans in September when it spent $27 million to purchase Eclipse Early Learning, a Melbourne-based operation with 19 centres across Victoria, NSW and Queensland.

The rapid supply influx is affecting big and small players alike...

"Dean Clarke, the chief executive of ASX-listed Mayfield Childcare Ltd, is frustrated. He said on Tuesday there had been a record number of childcare centre openings in Victoria in the past 18 months, and some had been empty on opening.”

“Australia's biggest listed childcare operator, G8 Education, which operates 512 childcare centres, revealed a 22 per cent slide in first-half profits on Monday as it battled against oversupply (occupancy rates at the company had fallen to 70.1% from 72.6% a year ago).”

Mr Edwards said one agent had been advertising 11 centres for lease for several months. “They would have gone in about five seconds three or four months ago.”

Extreme levels of competition

With private equity and big players getting a taste for the security of childcare (strong investment yields and long leasing terms), it’s easy to see how the situation has escalated.

We’re dealing with providers who are facing incredible levels of competition.

Chatswood, NSW is 12km from Sydney. The above chart (taken from indicates over 50 centres within a single competitive zone.

The raw data shows that the number of childcare providers has been steadily increasing:

Department of Education data summarises long day care centres in Australia between June 2010 and December 2017. On average, there were 194 new facilities per annum added to the supply network over this period.

Note: we are not seeing intense competition in ALL regions across Australia. In fact, there are many regions suffering from an UNDER supply.

So if you’re in an over-supplied area, what does that mean for you as a provider?

Stunted occupancy levels

Urban Economics’ recent appraisal of Occupancy and Performance of the Early Childhood Education and Care Sector (on behalf of Australian Childcare Alliance, Australian Community Children’s Services, and ELACCA) published late 2018 reveals the extent of the damage.

From the report, occupancy rates derived from the results of the survey of centres summarised by State for 2018 and 2017.

If you take the sector rule of thumb that roughly 70% occupancy is a target breakeven point (Source: Occupancy and Performance Appraisal: Early Childhood Education and Care Sector), it would appear that much of the sector is struggling to keep their operations viable.

“ACA has been closely monitoring the relationship between low occupancy levels and the oversupply of early learning services in certain geographic areas over the last couple of years.” ACA CEO Mr Mondo said.

“We know that increased supply does not bring costs down for families. This is an important issue affecting the affordability of early learning for Australian families, which government intervention could influence.” Mr Mondo said. “ We believe that the government also has a role to ensure responsible investment in the early learning sector.”

What it means for operators

What does an increase in centres really mean?

  • Geographically, there are more options available to parents
  • Stunning state of the art facilities continue to develop attractive early learning programs
  • Big players in the sector have money to invest in all the ‘bells and whistles’ to win parents over
  • There’s an increased likelihood of parents 'switching' if their childcare experience is not absolutely delightful
  • More choices make it difficult to retain children right through to pre-school years

With families having more options than ever, you can no longer simply build nice facilities, hire great people, and expect a flood of parents knocking on your door each month.

Beating the competition

Despite this highly competitive environment, at Content First we’ve taken our clients in the childcare space from strength to strength.

How did we do it? We simply applied many of the best practice digital marketing strategies we knew were already working in other highly competitive industries (like finance, ecommerce and professional services) to their businesses.

Taking one of our childcare clients as an example, we developed and kicked off a comprehensive digital strategy in 2017, resulting in explosive growth year-on-year:

This digital marketing strategy drove the following numbers over a 12-month period:

  • 6,520 enquiries
  • Enrolling 1,304 additional children
  • Estimated annual revenue value of over $16,000,000 ($12,500/yr per child)
  • Representing a Return on Marketing Investment of well over 10,000%

In another case study, we dramatically increased leads while reducing cost per lead for a client leveraging Google Adwords advertising:

In yet another, we saved a childcare client over 250 hours of labour per month using marketing automation and an effective CRM platform:

After hitting success time and time again for these child care clients, we decided to develop the framework of our processes that lets us achieve this success.

In other words, we mapped out the ‘model’ of the strategy we’re using that keeps beating the competition for our clients.

And now, we’re making this blueprint available for you...

Introducing the Parent Value Journey

parent value journey

The Parent Value Journey has become our go-to planning framework for assessing how effectively our client’s communication strategy moves parents from being ‘cold prospects’ and not even aware of the business, right through to becoming ‘raving fans’ of the brand.

Why this works so well:

  • This process gives parents the time and space to make ‘micro-commitments’ and progressively build trust as they move along their journey
  • We setup clients with strategies that deliver value to parents at each stage, systematically moving them down the funnel
  • A large part of the journey is automated, saving our client’s tons of time from repetitive marketing communication

Here’s what the process looks like from a parent’s perspective:

parent value journey expanded

The ultimate goals of the Parent Value Journey are to drive enrolments and support customer retention. In other words, revenue.

Taken from the parents perspective, it’s simply how good you are at starting new relationships, nurturing them and growing them into trusted partnerships.

At Content First we’re committed to helping childcare centres succeed despite the tough market conditions. So we developed an interactive guide that walks you through the foundation steps to implement a strategic childcare marketing plan using our parent value journey.

Your turn!

So, want to see how well you’re executing across your Parent Value Journey?

Download the free Double Your Enrolments Checklist, our self-audit PDF tool which scores your digital marketing against best practices across the 8 stages of the Parent Value Journey.

Map your enrolment growth score for free:


Now you might be thinking “All this is great, optimising my marketing over 8 stages and all my digital marketing channels, but what if I need enrolments NOW?”.

It’s usually the first conversation we have with new clients.

Which is why we've developed our Enrolment Booster Program. This program is designed to start driving qualified enquiries within 3 weeks.

Once we have the enrolment pipeline working effectively, then we move on to lead nurturing and customer retention marketing strategies.

Thankfully, growing monthly leads and an enrolment pipeline using digital marketing is surprisingly simple... if you know the formula for growth.

Let’s take a look now.

Planning your enrolment growth

We’ve developed a simple formula for growing monthly enquiries and enrolments.

It's proven to work for single centre companies, through to 16+ centre organisations.

And it's supported by sector benchmarks we've discovered after working with more than 30 childcare centres around Australia.

Here’s the model:

Let’s break this down:

  • The amount of money you spend on online advertising X the Cost per Click = the number of parents visiting your website
  • The number of website visitors X your visitor to lead conversion rate (%) = the number of leads you get
  • The number of leads X your lead to sale conversion rate (%) = the number of enrolments

Then using your average monthly revenue value per customer, you can estimate your Return on Investment from the marketing spend (in other words, if you hypothetically spent $1,500 on advertising, you can see you would grow your monthly revenue by $9,000).

This gives you confidence to invest and scale your business.

Combine this with your number of spaces and occupancy levels, this allows us to estimate the amount of advertising spend you will require, and the number of months you need to advertise to fill your occupancy to 100%:

Would you like to access a FREE online training session that walks you through these planning tools AND reveals childcare sector digital marketing performance benchmarks (so that you can accurately plan your growth)?

Take action now

For a limited time, we’re offering a FREE online training that walks you through how to use digital marketing to grow your monthly enrolments.

Free webclass: Plan for 100% occupancy in 2021

In this free webclass you’ll learn:

  • A proven step-by-step strategy to grow your monthly enrolments (using just 3 simple strategies)
  • Which 2 marketing channels you absolutely MUST be on to drive qualified traffic to your website
  • How to convert visitors into LEADS once they hit your website
  • Market tested sector performance benchmarks (so you’ll know EXACTLY what you need to spend on advertising to hit your occupancy goals)

If you’d like to go into 2021 with a clear plan on how to grow your childcare business, this is a free training class you absolutely cannot miss.

Click here to enrol now (hurry while it’s still online!)

Adam Wallace

Before the Internet became a ‘thing’ Adam’s sported an HP Jornada PDA from the Bond movie “The World is Not Enough” (1999). It’s safe to say he didn’t have a girlfriend at the time.

After a decade in the electrical industry designing systems and managing projects he made the switch to digital marketing and found his passion.

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